1/2/2024 – Five realistic scenarios of war in Ukraine in 2024: GLOBSEC report

New analysis gamed out several ways the Russia-Ukraine war could unfold, but saw little chance for clear victory or defeat for either side next year.

From: Euromaiden Press BY ALYA SHANDRA

The authoritative analytical organization GLOBSEC has published a detailed reportthat considers five most probable scenarios for the development of the war in Ukraine in 2024-2025.

None of these scenarios envisions Ukraine’s complete victory in 2024, nor defeat. The report, written as a result of surveys of dozens of experts and specialists, as well as modeling events, realistically assesses possible scenarios without excessive optimism or fantasy. They all have a common denominator: Russia will never relinquish the idea of conquering Ukraine, regardless of changes in the political regime.

Here we give an overview of the report, authored by Iuliia Osmolovska, Volodymyr Havrylov, and Hennadiy Maksak.

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