1/3/2024 – ISW: Four reasons why there is no alternative to the total liberation of Ukraine

Anything short of restoration of Ukraine’s 1991 borders will be economically unliftable for Ukraine and the West

From: Euromaiden Press BY THINK TANK

New report makes compelling case for Ukraine’s total liberation 🇺🇦

A just-published report by the ISW lays out 4️⃣ key reasons why Ukraine needs to regain all occupied territory:

1️⃣ Despite losses, Russia remains committed to conquering all of Ukraine. Freezing conflict now may just postpone that threat.

2️⃣ Ukraine’s current minimal defensive depth leaves major cities dangerously exposed. Pre-2022 borders allowed room to absorb then counterattack.

3️⃣ Ceding any land undermines international law banning illegal occupations.

4️⃣ If Russia keeps Crimea, Ukraine’s ability to defend vital southern cities and ports would be crippled.

In conclusion, the analysis argues only complete restoration of Ukraine’s territorial integrity can ensure its security and prosperity. 🇺🇦🙏

A Ukrainian soldier on the east frontlines. Photo: General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine via Telegram

Amid growing hints that Ukraine’s western partners are contemplating pressuring it to surrender land to Russia for an elusive end to Russia’s war, the US-based Institute for Study of War has come out with a reportabout why that is a misguided policy — and why only the total liberation of Ukraine in its 1991 borders will ensure it independence.

Here are its main arguments.

1) Russia remains committed to subjugating Ukraine

The study argues that Russian leadership, including Putin and top officials, have thoroughly indoctrinated the Russian people with the notion that Ukraine is a historical part of Russia that must be brought under Moscow’s control. Putin has made reclaiming Ukraine central to his 2024 re-election campaign and revisionist historical narratives are being spread in Russian schools and media.

Therefore, even if the current war ends, a future Russian regime is likely to renew aggression against Ukraine to achieve these ingrained national objectives. Freezing the conflict short of total liberation risks enabling Russia to eventually fulfill its irredentist aims — and sustaining peace is possible only if the Russia-Ukrainian frontier is defensible long-term.

2) The current lines are indefensible

With major Ukrainian population centers like Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, and Kharkiv near the current frontlines, Ukraine would have to maintain a fully mobilized military just to hold static defensive lines. This would be enormously expensive and socially disruptive over the long run.

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