ISW says the Russian military is leveraging delays in US military support to Ukraine to strengthen its operations, gaining ground through distinct, focused offensive efforts across multiple fronts.
From: Euromaiden Press BY YURI ZORIA
The US-based think tank Institute for the Study of War (ISW) says the Russian military command “likely assesses that Ukrainian forces will be unable to defend against current and future Russian offensive operations due to delays in or the permanent end of US military assistance.”
Russian forces are engaged in three distinct operational-level efforts that, while not mutually reinforcing, allow them to focus on achieving gradual, tactical advances in selected sectors. The longer Ukraine goes without additional US military support, the more its forces will struggle to counter these Russian efforts, as per ISW.
Russian forces have periodically redirected their offensive efforts among the Lyman, Chasiv Yar, and Pokrovsk directions in Donetsk Oblast. In early 2024, they initially focused on capturing Avdiivka with less intense operations along the Kupiansk-Svatove-Kreminna line. Then, they shifted emphasis to the Lyman direction, slightly reducing activity near Avdiivka. Most recently, in March-April 2024, they intensified efforts to seize Chasiv Yar, according to ISW’s earlier reports.
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