7/12/2024 — Russia Lacks Resource for Major Ukraine Offensive: NATO Official

In this pool photograph distributed by the Russian state agency Sputnik, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin signs documents during the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) member states leaders’ summit in Astana on July 4, 2024. (Photo by Sergei SAVOSTYANOV / POOL / AFP)
From: Kyiv Post — A NATO official said Russia is suffering heavy losses in Ukraine and does not possess the troops and weapons required to launch a major offensive.

“What they are having to do is order undermanned, inexperienced units to move into areas to achieve unrealistic objectives…To sustain real offensive operations, we think that Russia would have to secure significant ammunition supplies from countries beyond what it is already getting from Iran and from North Korea.”

“And Vladimir Putin would have to order a new large-scale mobilization,” he said, adding that Moscow is currently able to covertly mobilize around 30,000 troops per month to sustain the losses, Reuters reported.

The official estimated that, at the current pace, Moscow would be able to maintain its war economy for three to four more years, but Putin “still thinks time is on his side” and is willing to endure “truly staggering numbers of military casualties.”

He also said that Ukraine suffered significant troop losses and “it will be some time” before Kyiv can amass enough troops and personnel for a major counteroffensive, though he also said that “Ukrainian defenses [have improved] significantly” and are “improving day by day.”

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