10/4/2024 — Ukraine’s Population Set to Plummet to 25.2 Million by 2051

War, migration, and depopulation are worsening Ukraine’s demographic crisis, with the once pessimistic outlook only like to deteriorate in the next quarter of a century.

People visit Khreshchatyk Street where destroyed Russian armoured military vehicles are on display on Ukraine?s Independence Day in Kyiv, on August 24, 2023, amid the Russian invasion of Ukraine. (Photo by Roman Pilipey / AFP)

From: Kyiv Post — According to the Institute of Demography and Social Research at the National Academy of Sciences, Ukraine’s population is continuing to shrink likely to reach 28.9 million by 2041 and 25.2 million by 2051.

As of Jan. 1, 2022, before the full-scale Russian invasion, Ukraine’s population was 42 million, according to the Demographic Development Strategy of Ukraine for the period up to 2040.

Losses from the war, along with millions of displaced Ukrainians seeking refuge internally and abroad, paint a grim picture of Ukraine’s demographic future.

The document emphasizes that “population forecasting is challenging due to the lack of necessary statistical data. This is due to the inability to account for demographic indicators in temporarily occupied territories, as well as the unpredictability of further military developments.”

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