From: The Guardian by Andriy Yermak
On Monday, the Kremlin offered a three-day pause in hostilities against Ukraine in May, to coincide with Moscow’s celebrations of the end of the second world war. In a context where Ukraine is calling for an unconditional 30-day ceasefire, and the US a permanent one, Russia wants concessions before a lasting pause or permanent peace can even be discussed. Central to the Kremlin’s demands is the removal of sanctions – especially those restricting its aviation sector.
We must be cautious not to make concessions prematurely, under the guise of quick progress. The short pause offered would not make a meaningful difference to the war, and accepting it would enable a regime that has repeatedly shown intent to prolong its war of aggression and undermine this chance for a just, fair and lasting peace.
Current measures restrict access to the western market for Russian airlines and block imports of critical spare parts, maintenance services and other equipment – including dual use goods that could be used for military applications. On the surface, Moscow’s demands for concessions look simple and easy to fulfil – the definition of a quick win for both sides.
However, the apparent humanitarian and economic nature of Russia’s request masks the political and military advantage that any softening of aviation sanctions would hand the Russian president and his war machine. At present, these sanctions are testimony to how significantly and successfully the Kremlin’s military capabilities are being constrained.
Sanctions on aviation serve as both a powerful symbol and a practical impediment to Russia. The lines between private and public sector in Russia’s war economy are blurred – especially for aviation. Airlines are not mere collateral victims of the sanctions regime but active participants in supporting Russia’s illegal invasion of Ukraine. Just like Russian propagandists who continue to freely travel to Europe and purchase real estate abroad with blood money, or chemical plants that evade restrictions on fertiliser exports while fuelling Russia’s war machine.
Voice of Ukraine 