7/16/2025 — Will Trump’s pivot on Putin change the war?

By Atlantic Council

The tariff war is coming to Russia. US President Donald Trump threatened today to levy massive “secondary tariffs” on Russian goods if Russian President Vladimir Putin does not commit to a deal to end his war on Ukraine within fifty days. During a White House visit by NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, Trump also announced a plan for European NATO nations to buy billions of dollars’ worth of US weapons to send to Ukraine. Will this rapid shift in Trump’s approach to the conflict bring peace to Ukraine? And what impact might these new weapons or tariffs have on the war? Our experts share their insights below.

TODAY’S EXPERT REACTION BROUGHT TO YOU BY
  • John E. Herbst (@JohnEdHerbst): Senior director of the Council’s Eurasia Center and former US ambassador to Ukraine
  • Daniel Fried (@AmbDanFried): Weiser Family distinguished fellow and former US assistant secretary of state for Europe
  • Torrey Taussig (@torrey_taussig): Director and senior fellow at the Transatlantic Security Initiative in the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, and former director for European affairs on the National Security Council
  • Tressa Guenov: Director for programs and operations and senior fellow at the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, and former US principal deputy assistant secretary of defense for international security affairs

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