9/30/2025 — NYP op-ed: “Moscow keeps offering the same choice: act or fold” — and NATO keeps folding

Andrew Chakhoyan argues that NATO’s consistent reluctance to respond with force to Russia’s repeated airspace violations plays directly into Moscow’s hands.

From: Euromaiden Press by YURI ZORIA

Russian military aircraft flying near Latvian airspace on 25 September 2025. Photo: NATO Allied Air Command

In a New York Post opinion piece, Andrew Chakhoyan argues that Russia is deliberately provoking NATO not with bombs, but with psychological warfare — and the West is letting it work.

Russia’s provocations against NATO are unfolding against the backdrop of the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian war. Over the past month, Russia has intensified its military provocations against NATO member states. Russian drones repeatedly violated the airspace of Poland and Romania, while Russian fighter jets entered the airspace of Baltic countries. At the same time, suspected Russian drones were activated en masse near Scandinavian airports, forcing temporary flight suspensions. In the latest cases, Denmark reported drones near several army facilities, and a drone fragment was found on Estonia’s Gulf of Riga coast.

Moscow’s provocations are meant to provoke nothing

Russia’s ongoing airspace violations — including drones over Poland, fighter jets entering Estonian airspace, and incidents over Denmark and near Alaska — are not accidents. According to Chakhoyan, these incursions are carefully calculated. They are serious enough to trigger emergency NATO responses, but ambiguous enough to avoid real retaliation.

The point, he argues, is not “kinetic confrontation” — Russia is “is eager to weaken our collective ability to think, act and mount a defense.

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