
From: Jason Jay Smart
Moscow is fortifying against its own reflection. Air defense batteries and Rosgvardia armor now protect power, not borders, showing a regime bracing for internal shock. Elites are voting with their feet and their capital. Reports show massive wealth transfers abroad, tightened security around Valdai, and new prosecutions targeting exiled opposition figures. That is what panic looks like inside an autocracy: defenses turning inward, markets sliding, and loyalty being priced.
Here is the strategic read. The economy is fracturing as capital flight widens the fiscal hole, leaving the Kremlin unable to fund both war and repression. The power vertical is weakening as oligarchs and insiders diversify away from Moscow. On the battlefield, Ukraine’s precision strikes are increasing the cost of loyalty. These forces converge on one outcome: political instability at the core of Putin’s system.
This channel tracks indicators, not rumors. When money moves, security hardens, and prosecutions rise together, it means the Kremlin is spending its limited focus suppressing insiders instead of confronting Ukraine or NATO. That shift creates opportunity. In this episode, we expose the financial drain, the new defensive lines around Valdai, and the fractures splitting Putin’s inner circle. We will also break down what Kyiv and the West must do next: close sanctions loopholes, expand long-range strike capabilities, and maintain relentless pressure on Russia’s war machine.