8/9/2022 – War update and commentary

From Jamie Peipon: In the picture above you can see how close regular people on public transportation are to acts of war. The warhead on this missile obviously didn’t detonate. But what do you do? You can’t just go pulling it out of the ground… but you also can’t just stop everything in the city while they wait for the very busy professional crews to come in and remove it. This is now “normal” even though five months ago it would have been almost unimaginable.

Over the past several weeks, Ukraine has been talking about the counteroffensive they’re starting towards Kherson. It seems like something of a strange strategy for them to be talking about it because, of course, Russia can hear them. Over this past week, signs point to the fact that Russia did hear them and has been moving lots of troops from the eastern front down to the south. So why talk about their plans in advance? Maybe Ukraine actually wants to make progress on the eastern front and this was a way to tempt them to move troops out. Maybe Ukraine feels like they can trap any soldiers Russia brings to the city of Kherson and has an opportunity for a significant rout. Of course, it could also just be a strategic mistake. Whatever the reason, the lull in fighting news seems to be mainly because of the repositioning of troops.

Kharkiv, however, has not seen a lull. They continue to be attacked daily. There don’t seem to be changes on the front lines there, they’re just getting attacked. As summer draws to a close, this constant shelling will become an even bigger problem for the basic needs in the city. Today, Russia attacked a thermal plant that provides heat to 1/3 of the city. That is 1/3 of the 2nd largest city in the country. This is a potential crisis that may begin to reveal itself in slow motion as the temperatures begin to drop.

The Pentagon officially announced its new $1 billion package for Ukraine. It references HIMARS ammunition without going into detail. Some are reporting that this round will include the longer-range missiles that have been asked for. There has not been any official confirmation on those weapons, but even the rumor of it is likely to put a little fear into some of the Russian forces who, for the moment, are outside the range of the HIMARS.

“But at my stumbling they rejoiced and gathered;
they gathered together against me;
wretches whom I did not know
tore at me without ceasing;
like profane mockers at a feast,
they gnash at me with their teeth.”

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